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BP Predicts Natural Gas Will Be World’s Main Fossil Fuel by 2040

British Petroleum expects that natural gas will take over oil as the world’s main fossil fuel energy source by the year 2040, according to a new report by Reuters.

“We see it (gas) take over from coal in the early 2030s. We think there is a very good case for gas actually overtaking oil post 2040 or just before 2040,” Dominic Energy, BP’s VP for strategic planning said during a conference in Vienna on Wednesday.

The demand growth for gas in just China alone will have a rise of 15% year-over-year, while global demand increases by 1.6% annually for a number of years. The oil demand curve, on the other hand, will slow to 0.8% growth in the meantime.

“We do see a very strong chance that (gas) is going to be the largest source of primary energy into the future… By gas we mean natural gas, but also … we mean biogas, we mean biomethane, we mean power-to-gas.”

A previous forecast by the UK based company said oil’s share of global fossil fuel markets would shrink from 33% to 30% by 2035. Most of the gains would go to natural gas, which is considered better to the environment due to lower carbon emissions.

Source: Oilprice